Astros vs Royals odds, prediction, line: 2022 MLB picks, Thursday, July 7, best bets from a proven model

Minute Maid Park hosts an American League game on Thursday afternoon. The Houston Astros host the Kansas City Royals in the final of a four-game series. Houston won two of the first three games, although Kansas City won on Wednesday. The Royals aim to even the series with a road win, with Houston aiming to continue dominating at home with a 26-12 record at Minute Maid Park.

The first pitch is at 2:10 p.m. ET in Houston. Caesars Sportsbook lists Houston as a -355 favorite on the money line, while the Over-Under, or the total number of runs Vegas thinks it will score, is 8 in the latest Royals vs. Astros odds. Before making any choices between Royals and Astros, you should check out MLB predictions and betting tips from SportsLine’s advanced computer simulation model.

The SportsLine projection model simulates every MLB game 10,000 times, and it’s 271-232 on MLB’s top money line picks since the start of the 2021 season, earning well over $500 for 100 $ of players. It’s the same pattern that pegged the 2021 Atlanta Braves at 10-1 as one of the top three bets to win it all last season. Everyone who followed him saw profitable returns.

Now the model has set her sights on Royals vs Astros, and has just locked in her MLB picks and predictions. You can head over to SportsLine now to see the model choices. Now, here are several MLB odds and betting lines for Royals vs Astros:

  • Royals vs. Astros money line: Astros -355, Royals +278
  • Royals vs Astros over-under: 8 runs
  • Royals vs. Astros race line: Astros -1.5
  • KC: Royals are 13-24 in day games
  • HOU: Astros are 23-9 in day games
  • Royals vs. Astros picks: See the picks here.

Featured game | Houston Astros vs. Kansas City Royals

Why you should support the Royals

The Royals have notable strengths, even though the Astros are favorites in Thursday’s home game. Kansas City leads the American League in hat-tricks this season, and the Royals have youthful talent and quality team speed. Additionally, the Royals put the ball in play with consistency, ranking in the top five in the American League with a strikeout rate below 21%.

In terms of race prevention, there is reason to be optimistic with Kris Bubic, who has pitched much better since the calendar has changed from May to June. Bubic also threw five scoreless innings against Houston earlier this season, and the Astros aren’t dominating offensive metrics at the level they had in previous years. In fact, Houston currently ranks below the AL average in hits, doubles, triples and stolen bases for the 2022 season.

Why you should support the Astros

Houston’s pitching profile on Thursday is top-notch. The Astros will send Justin Verlander to the mound to start the morning contest, and Verlander is an eight-time All-Star and a two-time Cy Young winner. Verlander has a 2.03 ERA this season, landing near the top of the AL pecking order, and he has a 0.83 WHIP in 2022. Opponents have a hideous 0.527 OPS against Verlander this season, and it has been even better lately, posting a 1.65. ERA in the last five starts.

Verlander also faces a below-average Royals offense, with Kansas City ranking in the AL’s bottom five in runs scored, hits, doubles, home runs, slugging percentage and OPS. Houston’s bullpen is also top-notch, ranking in the AL’s top four in ERA and winning over replacement, and the Astros also boast superior offense, especially through the prism of power-based measurements, in this game.

How to make choices between Royals and Astros

The SportsLine model looks at the running total, and it indicates that one side of the money line has all the value. You can only get the model’s MLB picks on SportsLine.

So, who wins the Royals against the Astros? And which side has all the value? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Royals vs. Astros you need to jump on Thursday, all from the model who crushed his MLB picks, and find out.

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